Thursday, 02.21.08

Can Clinton come back?

Hillary & Obama (Flickr user captainal67).jpg

Photo by Flickr user captainal67 under a Creative Commons license.

Barack Obama may well be ready to destroy the deepest, most fundamental law of the political universe: that somewhere, somehow, the Clintons will find a way to win.

How can Hillary Clinton possibly pull this off? The mathematics are there. If two-thirds of the remaining superdelegates -- what her campaign cleverly and class-consciously insists on calling the “automatic” delegates -- break her way, then she will win.  The history is there, and this race has been full of black-swan moments.

The remaining 16 states and 816-odd pledged delegates will probably cut in her favor. Forget these static factors: for the first time, the elite political class is finally beginning to question -- or at least, to be aware of -- some of the irritating messianism of Barack Obama. 

The Superdelegate Solution

The Politico's Ben Smith thinks Clinton's best bet is making her case directly to superdelegates.

 

Dividing the Democrats

For Michael Gerson, the central problem with the Clinton campaign is that it needs to divide the Democrats to win.

 

The Secret Clinton Memo

Ben Dueholm offers yet another strategy: change the goalposts. The Obama campaign is losing Wiccans in a big way.

 

Incompetent Clinton?

Ezra Klein argues that the failures of the Clinton campaign undermine the idea that she has the edge when it comes to experience and electoral discipline.



Copyright © 2007 by The Atlantic Monthly Group. All rights reserved.